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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
73%
1.37
15%
6.54
12%
8.69
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
3 – 0
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.69
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
3.69
1.00
Oviedo xG
Real MadridDrawOviedo
1.37
73%
Home win
6.54
15%
Draw
8.69
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
50%
Over 3.5
2.00
50%
Under 3.5
2.00
31%
Over 4.5
3.23
69%
Under 4.5
1.45
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.70
41%
BTTS No
2.43
Clean Sheet
37%
2.72
7%
14.81
Win to Nil
27%
3.71
1%
128.63
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.695
λ Away (xG)
0.999
Total xG
3.694
League avg home goals
1.521
League avg away goals
1.157
Real Madrid attack strength
1.299
Real Madrid defence strength
0.933
Oviedo attack strength
0.926
Oviedo defence strength
1.364
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
73 / 35