Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Mon 2 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

65%

Real Madrid

1.54

21%

Draw

4.71

14%

Getafe

7.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.83

0.81

Getafe xG

65%
21%
14%
Real MadridDrawGetafe

1.54

65%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

7.26

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

44%

Real Madrid

2.26

13%

Getafe

7.52

Win to Nil

29%

Real Madrid

3.48

2%

Getafe

54.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 4.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 11.9 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
2 12.0 9.8 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.1 6.6 2.7 0.7 0.1
4 4.1 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.018
λ Away (xG) 0.815
Total xG 2.833
League avg home goals 1.514
League avg away goals 1.135
Real Madrid attack strength 1.430
Real Madrid defence strength 0.818
Getafe attack strength 0.878
Getafe defence strength 0.932
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63