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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

51%

Real Madrid

1.97

24%

Draw

4.14

25%

Espanyol

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.79

1.11

Espanyol xG

51%
24%
25%
Real MadridDrawEspanyol

1.97

51%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

33%

Real Madrid

3.02

19%

Espanyol

5.39

Win to Nil

17%

Real Madrid

5.94

5%

Espanyol

21.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.8 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.3 11.4 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.6 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.685
λ Away (xG) 1.106
Total xG 2.791
League avg home goals 1.456
League avg away goals 1.160
Real Madrid attack strength 1.100
Real Madrid defence strength 0.884
Espanyol attack strength 1.078
Espanyol defence strength 1.052
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42