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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
57%
1.75
20%
4.91
23%
4.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.7%
Draw
2 – 0
7.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.18
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
3.49
1.32
Celta Vigo xG
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1.75
57%
Home win
4.91
20%
Draw
4.43
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
68%
Over 2.5
1.47
32%
Under 2.5
3.12
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.54
35%
BTTS No
2.85
Clean Sheet
27%
3.73
11%
8.83
Win to Nil
15%
6.54
3%
39.10
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 8.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.2 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.178
λ Away (xG)
1.316
Total xG
3.494
League avg home goals
1.355
League avg away goals
1.189
Real Madrid attack strength
1.323
Real Madrid defence strength
0.964
Celta Vigo attack strength
1.148
Celta Vigo defence strength
1.215
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
71 / 71