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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

56%

Real Madrid

1.80

22%

Draw

4.56

22%

Barcelona

4.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

3.30

1.24

Barcelona xG

56%
22%
22%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona

1.80

56%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

4.47

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

29%

Real Madrid

3.47

13%

Barcelona

7.79

Win to Nil

16%

Real Madrid

6.23

3%

Barcelona

34.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.6 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 7.6 9.4 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.3 6.6 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.053
λ Away (xG) 1.244
Total xG 3.297
League avg home goals 1.366
League avg away goals 1.168
Real Madrid attack strength 1.296
Real Madrid defence strength 0.823
Barcelona attack strength 1.293
Barcelona defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47