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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

57%

Real Madrid

1.76

24%

Draw

4.13

19%

Atletico Madrid

5.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.55

0.86

Atletico Madrid xG

57%
24%
19%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid

1.76

57%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

5.29

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

42%

Real Madrid

2.37

18%

Atletico Madrid

5.42

Win to Nil

24%

Real Madrid

4.16

3%

Atletico Madrid

28.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 6.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 13.2 11.3 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.6 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 6.3 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.1
4 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.691
λ Away (xG) 0.862
Total xG 2.553
League avg home goals 1.556
League avg away goals 1.145
Real Madrid attack strength 1.351
Real Madrid defence strength 0.857
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.879
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.804
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66