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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

49%

Real Madrid

2.05

24%

Draw

4.10

27%

Atletico Madrid

3.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.80

1.16

Atletico Madrid xG

49%
24%
27%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid

2.05

49%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.74

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

32%

Real Madrid

3.17

19%

Atletico Madrid

5.20

Win to Nil

15%

Real Madrid

6.49

5%

Atletico Madrid

19.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.0 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.5 6.7 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.5 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.2 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.649
λ Away (xG) 1.155
Total xG 2.804
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.125
Real Madrid attack strength 1.557
Real Madrid defence strength 0.947
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.084
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.742
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60