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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

44%

Real Madrid

2.29

26%

Draw

3.80

30%

Athletic Club

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.55

1.13

Athletic Club xG

44%
26%
30%
Real MadridDrawAthletic Club

2.29

44%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

32%

Real Madrid

3.11

24%

Athletic Club

4.14

Win to Nil

14%

Real Madrid

7.13

7%

Athletic Club

13.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.8 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.0 12.5 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 8.9 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.2 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.421
λ Away (xG) 1.134
Total xG 2.555
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.257
Real Madrid attack strength 1.386
Real Madrid defence strength 1.027
Athletic Club attack strength 0.878
Athletic Club defence strength 0.766
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69