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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Real Betis cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Osasuna.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Real Betis beat Osasuna 2-0 at Estadio de La Cartuja, Regular Season - 7, in the La Liga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Real Betis 1.53 xG and Osasuna 0.95 xG, a combined 2.48. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Osasuna landed 0.9 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Real Betis attack 1.16 / defence 1.02 against Osasuna attack 0.82 / defence 0.93, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Real Betis 50% | Draw 27% | Osasuna 22%, with Real Betis to win its most likely call at 50%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 49% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Real Betis 54%, Osasuna 41%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 66%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Real Betis's trading profile (44 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 73% of their matches — today it did not.

Osasuna's trading profile (44 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Real Betis 1.57 PPG, Osasuna 1.34 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Real Betis win broke the near-deadlock. Real Betis (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.09 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights