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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 1 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

51%

Rayo Vallecano

1.96

29%

Draw

3.43

20%

Valencia

5.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

1.97

0.68

Valencia xG

51%
29%
20%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia

1.96

51%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

5.06

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.79

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

51%

Rayo Vallecano

1.98

28%

Valencia

3.62

Win to Nil

26%

Rayo Vallecano

3.87

5%

Valencia

18.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 9.5 3.2 0.7 0.1
1 18.0 12.3 4.2 0.9 0.2
2 11.6 7.9 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 3.4 1.2 0.3
4 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.287
λ Away (xG) 0.682
Total xG 1.969
League avg home goals 1.368
League avg away goals 1.125
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.729
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.774
Valencia attack strength 0.783
Valencia defence strength 1.291
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51