Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

13:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

37%

Rayo Vallecano

2.70

29%

Draw

3.50

34%

Sevilla

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.67

1.30

Sevilla xG

37%
29%
34%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla

2.70

37%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

27%

Rayo Vallecano

3.69

26%

Sevilla

3.92

Win to Nil

10%

Rayo Vallecano

9.94

9%

Sevilla

11.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.0 5.9 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 9.5 12.3 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 8.4 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.9 3.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.305
Total xG 2.670
League avg home goals 1.445
League avg away goals 1.134
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.883
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.942
Sevilla attack strength 1.223
Sevilla defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44