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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

34%

Rayo Vallecano

2.96

25%

Draw

3.97

41%

Sevilla

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.79

1.48

Sevilla xG

34%
25%
41%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla

2.96

34%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

23%

Rayo Vallecano

4.38

27%

Sevilla

3.74

Win to Nil

8%

Rayo Vallecano

12.93

11%

Sevilla

9.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 8.1 11.9 8.8 4.3 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 7.8 5.8 2.8 1.1 0.3
3 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.319
λ Away (xG) 1.476
Total xG 2.795
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.153
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.889
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.018
Sevilla attack strength 1.257
Sevilla defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63