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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

15:15

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

30%

Rayo Vallecano

3.29

27%

Draw

3.69

43%

Real Madrid

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.47

1.36

Real Madrid xG

30%
27%
43%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Madrid

3.29

30%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

2.35

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

26%

Rayo Vallecano

3.90

33%

Real Madrid

3.03

Win to Nil

8%

Rayo Vallecano

12.81

14%

Real Madrid

7.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 11.5 7.8 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.2 7.1 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.107
λ Away (xG) 1.360
Total xG 2.467
League avg home goals 1.424
League avg away goals 1.128
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.790
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.874
Real Madrid attack strength 1.381
Real Madrid defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49