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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

20%

Rayo Vallecano

5.12

23%

Draw

4.26

57%

Real Madrid

1.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

0 – 2

10.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.67

1.75

Real Madrid xG

20%
23%
57%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Madrid

5.12

20%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

1.75

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

17%

Rayo Vallecano

5.75

40%

Real Madrid

2.50

Win to Nil

3%

Rayo Vallecano

29.42

23%

Real Madrid

4.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 12.2 10.6 6.2 2.7 0.9
1 6.4 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 2.9 5.1 4.5 2.6 1.1 0.4
3 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.917
λ Away (xG) 1.749
Total xG 2.666
League avg home goals 1.454
League avg away goals 1.153
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.899
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.095
Real Madrid attack strength 1.385
Real Madrid defence strength 0.701
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54