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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

37%

Rayo Vallecano

2.70

30%

Draw

3.34

33%

Mallorca

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.10

1.01

Mallorca xG

37%
30%
33%
Rayo VallecanoDrawMallorca

2.70

37%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

36%

Rayo Vallecano

2.75

34%

Mallorca

2.97

Win to Nil

13%

Rayo Vallecano

7.43

11%

Mallorca

8.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 12.4 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.3 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.088
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.099
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.161
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.888
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.145
Mallorca attack strength 0.761
Mallorca defence strength 0.887
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75