Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Getafe Win

22%

Rayo Vallecano

4.50

26%

Draw

3.86

52%

Getafe

1.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 2

10.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.42

1.52

Getafe xG

22%
26%
52%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGetafe

4.50

22%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

1.93

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

22%

Rayo Vallecano

4.59

41%

Getafe

2.45

Win to Nil

5%

Rayo Vallecano

20.65

21%

Getafe

4.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 13.5 10.3 5.2 2.0 0.6
1 8.0 12.1 9.3 4.7 1.8 0.5
2 3.6 5.5 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2
3 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.898
λ Away (xG) 1.523
Total xG 2.421
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.194
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.857
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.225
Getafe attack strength 1.041
Getafe defence strength 0.784
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71