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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

53%

Rayo Vallecano

1.89

25%

Draw

4.01

22%

Espanyol

4.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.55

0.95

Espanyol xG

53%
25%
22%
Rayo VallecanoDrawEspanyol

1.89

53%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.49

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

39%

Rayo Vallecano

2.58

20%

Espanyol

4.99

Win to Nil

20%

Rayo Vallecano

4.89

4%

Espanyol

22.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.4 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 12.5 11.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.5 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.4 5.1 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.607
λ Away (xG) 0.948
Total xG 2.555
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.173
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.932
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.071
Espanyol attack strength 0.755
Espanyol defence strength 1.210
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 28