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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Barcelona Win
23%
4.33
23%
4.30
54%
1.86
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
1 – 2
9.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.09
Rayo Vallecano xG
Total xG
2.88
1.78
Barcelona xG
Rayo VallecanoDrawBarcelona
4.33
23%
Home win
4.30
23%
Draw
1.86
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
78%
Over 1.5
1.28
22%
Under 1.5
4.55
55%
Over 2.5
1.82
45%
Under 2.5
2.22
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.81
45%
BTTS No
2.24
Clean Sheet
17%
5.96
34%
2.98
Win to Nil
4%
25.78
18%
5.56
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 10.1 | 9.0 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 6.1 | 11.0 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.092
λ Away (xG)
1.785
Total xG
2.877
League avg home goals
1.354
League avg away goals
1.149
Rayo Vallecano attack strength
0.939
Rayo Vallecano defence strength
1.027
Barcelona attack strength
1.513
Barcelona defence strength
0.858
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40