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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

26%

Rayo Vallecano

3.78

35%

Draw

2.86

39%

Atletico Madrid

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

1.89

1.06

Atletico Madrid xG

26%
35%
39%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid

3.78

26%

Home win

2.86

35%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.60

62%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

35%

Rayo Vallecano

2.88

44%

Atletico Madrid

2.30

Win to Nil

9%

Rayo Vallecano

10.88

17%

Atletico Madrid

5.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1 16.0 8.5 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 12.6 13.3 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 5.2 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.831
λ Away (xG) 1.057
Total xG 1.888
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 1.134
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.780
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 1.004
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.928
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.709
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 61