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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

13:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

47%

Rayo Vallecano

2.11

28%

Draw

3.57

25%

Athletic Club

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.56

1.03

Athletic Club xG

47%
28%
25%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Club

2.11

47%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

4.08

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

36%

Rayo Vallecano

2.82

22%

Athletic Club

4.60

Win to Nil

17%

Rayo Vallecano

5.93

5%

Athletic Club

18.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 8.0 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.8 12.2 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.527
λ Away (xG) 1.035
Total xG 2.562
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.127
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.935
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.927
Athletic Club attack strength 0.990
Athletic Club defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 63