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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Rayo Vallecano Win
49%
2.02
25%
4.01
26%
3.91
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.0%
Home win
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.60
Rayo Vallecano xG
Total xG
2.67
1.08
Alaves xG
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlaves
2.02
49%
Home win
4.01
25%
Draw
3.91
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
34%
2.93
20%
4.95
Win to Nil
17%
5.93
5%
19.34
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 11.9 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.5 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.599
λ Away (xG)
1.076
Total xG
2.675
League avg home goals
1.617
League avg away goals
1.119
Rayo Vallecano attack strength
0.968
Rayo Vallecano defence strength
0.904
Alaves attack strength
1.064
Alaves defence strength
1.022
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
38 / 38