Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

27%

Oviedo

3.67

32%

Draw

3.09

40%

Valencia

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Oviedo xG

Total xG

1.92

1.08

Valencia xG

27%
32%
40%
OviedoDrawValencia

3.67

27%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

34%

Oviedo

2.95

43%

Valencia

2.31

Win to Nil

9%

Oviedo

10.83

18%

Valencia

5.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 15.9 8.6 3.1 0.8 0.2
1 12.3 13.3 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 5.1 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.836
λ Away (xG) 1.083
Total xG 1.919
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.124
Oviedo attack strength 0.516
Oviedo defence strength 0.998
Valencia attack strength 0.966
Valencia defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65