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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

32%

Oviedo

3.14

29%

Draw

3.41

39%

Sevilla

2.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Oviedo xG

Total xG

2.25

1.19

Sevilla xG

32%
29%
39%
OviedoDrawSevilla

3.14

32%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.57

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

30%

Oviedo

3.30

35%

Sevilla

2.86

Win to Nil

10%

Oviedo

10.36

14%

Sevilla

7.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 12.6 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.1 13.3 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 5.9 7.0 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.052
λ Away (xG) 1.193
Total xG 2.245
League avg home goals 1.558
League avg away goals 1.134
Oviedo attack strength 0.549
Oviedo defence strength 0.929
Sevilla attack strength 1.133
Sevilla defence strength 1.231
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 67