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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

25%

Oviedo

3.94

26%

Draw

3.83

49%

Real Sociedad

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Oviedo xG

Total xG

2.49

1.49

Real Sociedad xG

25%
26%
49%
OviedoDrawReal Sociedad

3.94

25%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

23%

Oviedo

4.43

37%

Real Sociedad

2.72

Win to Nil

6%

Oviedo

17.47

18%

Real Sociedad

5.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 12.4 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
1 8.3 12.4 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.1 6.2 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.3
3 1.4 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.999
λ Away (xG) 1.489
Total xG 2.488
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 1.171
Oviedo attack strength 0.707
Oviedo defence strength 1.340
Real Sociedad attack strength 0.949
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.025
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 40