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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

27%

Oviedo

3.69

25%

Draw

3.95

48%

Real Madrid

2.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Oviedo xG

Total xG

2.66

1.55

Real Madrid xG

27%
25%
48%
OviedoDrawReal Madrid

3.69

27%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.10

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

21%

Oviedo

4.72

33%

Real Madrid

3.03

Win to Nil

6%

Oviedo

17.41

16%

Real Madrid

6.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 10.9 8.4 4.4 1.7 0.5
1 7.8 12.0 9.3 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.3 6.7 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.6 2.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.107
λ Away (xG) 1.552
Total xG 2.659
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.196
Oviedo attack strength 0.861
Oviedo defence strength 1.150
Real Madrid attack strength 1.128
Real Madrid defence strength 0.929
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 39