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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 5 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

23%

Oviedo

4.27

30%

Draw

3.35

47%

Mallorca

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Oviedo xG

Total xG

1.99

1.22

Mallorca xG

23%
30%
47%
OviedoDrawMallorca

4.27

23%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

29%

Oviedo

3.39

46%

Mallorca

2.16

Win to Nil

7%

Oviedo

14.48

22%

Mallorca

4.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 16.6 10.2 4.1 1.3 0.3
1 10.5 12.8 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 4.1 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.772
λ Away (xG) 1.221
Total xG 1.993
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.142
Oviedo attack strength 0.493
Oviedo defence strength 1.110
Mallorca attack strength 0.963
Mallorca defence strength 1.147
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 52