Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Espanyol Win

25%

Oviedo

4.00

30%

Draw

3.28

45%

Espanyol

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Oviedo xG

Total xG

2.12

1.25

Espanyol xG

25%
30%
45%
OviedoDrawEspanyol

4.00

25%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

2.25

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

29%

Oviedo

3.49

42%

Espanyol

2.38

Win to Nil

7%

Oviedo

13.99

19%

Espanyol

5.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 15.1 9.4 3.9 1.2 0.3
1 10.4 13.0 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 4.5 5.6 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
3 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.866
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 2.117
League avg home goals 1.470
League avg away goals 1.140
Oviedo attack strength 0.603
Oviedo defence strength 1.309
Espanyol attack strength 0.838
Espanyol defence strength 0.978
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 46