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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Thu 25 Sep 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

17%

Oviedo

5.88

25%

Draw

3.94

58%

Barcelona

1.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.2%

Away win

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.87

Oviedo xG

Total xG

2.65

1.78

Barcelona xG

17%
25%
58%
OviedoDrawBarcelona

5.88

17%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

1.74

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

17%

Oviedo

5.92

42%

Barcelona

2.39

Win to Nil

3%

Oviedo

34.79

24%

Barcelona

4.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 12.5 11.2 6.6 2.9 1.0
1 6.2 11.0 9.7 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 2.7 4.8 4.3 2.5 1.1 0.4
3 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.873
λ Away (xG) 1.778
Total xG 2.651
League avg home goals 1.438
League avg away goals 1.160
Oviedo attack strength 0.714
Oviedo defence strength 1.131
Barcelona attack strength 1.355
Barcelona defence strength 0.851
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43