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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

32%

Oviedo

3.17

30%

Draw

3.32

38%

Alaves

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Oviedo xG

Total xG

2.07

1.10

Alaves xG

32%
30%
38%
OviedoDrawAlaves

3.17

32%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.41

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

33%

Oviedo

3.01

38%

Alaves

2.64

Win to Nil

10%

Oviedo

9.54

15%

Alaves

6.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 13.9 7.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.2 13.5 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 5.9 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.970
λ Away (xG) 1.102
Total xG 2.072
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.149
Oviedo attack strength 0.556
Oviedo defence strength 0.886
Alaves attack strength 1.083
Alaves defence strength 1.151
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74