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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:15

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

29%

Osasuna

3.50

24%

Draw

4.22

48%

Real Madrid

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Osasuna xG

Total xG

3.00

1.72

Real Madrid xG

29%
24%
48%
OsasunaDrawReal Madrid

3.50

29%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

18%

Osasuna

5.58

28%

Real Madrid

3.59

Win to Nil

5%

Osasuna

19.53

13%

Real Madrid

7.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.6 7.4 4.2 1.8 0.6
1 6.4 11.0 9.4 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 4.1 7.0 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.5
3 1.7 3.0 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.279
λ Away (xG) 1.719
Total xG 2.998
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.154
Osasuna attack strength 1.093
Osasuna defence strength 1.109
Real Madrid attack strength 1.343
Real Madrid defence strength 0.814
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61