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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Athletic Club cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Levante.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Athletic Club beat Levante 0-2 at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Regular Season - 14, in the La Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Levante 1.23 xG and Athletic Club 1.43 xG, a combined 2.65. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Levante fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Levante attack 0.81 / defence 1.55 against Athletic Club attack 0.82 / defence 1.07, drawn from 13/51 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Levante 32% | Draw 26% | Athletic Club 42%, with Athletic Club to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 74% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Levante 62%, Athletic Club 38%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 50%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Levante's trading profile (13 games, 5 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did not.

Athletic Club's trading profile (13 games, 5 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 38% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

On form, Athletic Club arrived the stronger side — 1.31 PPG against 0.69. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Levante (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward. Athletic Club (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 0.40 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights