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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Mon 7 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leganes Win

39%

Leganes

2.54

29%

Draw

3.40

31%

Osasuna

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Leganes xG

Total xG

2.15

1.00

Osasuna xG

39%
29%
31%
LeganesDrawOsasuna

2.54

39%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

37%

Leganes

2.71

31%

Osasuna

3.18

Win to Nil

15%

Leganes

6.87

10%

Osasuna

10.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 11.6 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 13.4 13.4 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 7.8 7.7 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.158
λ Away (xG) 0.996
Total xG 2.154
League avg home goals 1.355
League avg away goals 1.236
Leganes attack strength 0.944
Leganes defence strength 1.273
Osasuna attack strength 0.633
Osasuna defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 67