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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

26%

Leganes

3.85

26%

Draw

3.89

48%

Alaves

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Leganes xG

Total xG

2.56

1.52

Alaves xG

26%
26%
48%
LeganesDrawAlaves

3.85

26%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

22%

Leganes

4.58

35%

Alaves

2.83

Win to Nil

6%

Leganes

17.65

17%

Alaves

5.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 11.7 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
1 8.0 12.2 9.3 4.7 1.8 0.5
2 4.2 6.4 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.5 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.042
λ Away (xG) 1.522
Total xG 2.564
League avg home goals 1.423
League avg away goals 1.142
Leganes attack strength 0.709
Leganes defence strength 1.265
Alaves attack strength 1.054
Alaves defence strength 1.034
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 61