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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

32%

Las Palmas

3.17

25%

Draw

4.01

43%

Villarreal

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.82

1.54

Villarreal xG

32%
25%
43%
Las PalmasDrawVillarreal

3.17

32%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.30

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

21%

Las Palmas

4.67

28%

Villarreal

3.59

Win to Nil

7%

Las Palmas

14.78

12%

Villarreal

8.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.2 7.1 3.6 1.4 0.4
1 7.6 11.8 9.1 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.9 7.5 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.4
3 2.1 3.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.278
λ Away (xG) 1.541
Total xG 2.819
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.121
Las Palmas attack strength 0.878
Las Palmas defence strength 1.149
Villarreal attack strength 1.197
Villarreal defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60