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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

18%

Las Palmas

5.56

19%

Draw

5.29

63%

Barcelona

1.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

0 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

3.51

2.33

Barcelona xG

18%
19%
63%
Las PalmasDrawBarcelona

5.56

18%

Home win

5.29

19%

Draw

1.58

63%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

10%

Las Palmas

10.30

31%

Barcelona

3.24

Win to Nil

2%

Las Palmas

57.31

19%

Barcelona

5.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 7.0 8.1 6.3 3.7 1.7
1 3.5 8.2 9.6 7.4 4.3 2.0
2 2.1 4.8 5.6 4.4 2.6 1.2
3 0.8 1.9 2.2 1.7 1.0 0.5
4 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.177
λ Away (xG) 2.332
Total xG 3.509
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.157
Las Palmas attack strength 0.896
Las Palmas defence strength 1.164
Barcelona attack strength 1.732
Barcelona defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62