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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

21%

Las Palmas

4.71

23%

Draw

4.27

55%

Atletico Madrid

1.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

0 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.76

1.76

Atletico Madrid xG

21%
23%
55%
Las PalmasDrawAtletico Madrid

4.71

21%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

1.81

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

17%

Las Palmas

5.81

37%

Atletico Madrid

2.71

Win to Nil

4%

Las Palmas

27.38

20%

Atletico Madrid

4.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 11.2 9.8 5.8 2.5 0.9
1 6.3 11.1 9.8 5.8 2.5 0.9
2 3.2 5.5 4.9 2.9 1.3 0.4
3 1.0 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.996
λ Away (xG) 1.760
Total xG 2.756
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.252
Las Palmas attack strength 0.903
Las Palmas defence strength 1.247
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.127
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.831
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69