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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

58%

Girona

1.74

19%

Draw

5.18

23%

Sevilla

4.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.5%

Draw

3 – 1

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.37

Girona xG

Total xG

3.84

1.47

Sevilla xG

58%
19%
23%
GironaDrawSevilla

1.74

58%

Home win

5.18

19%

Draw

4.32

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.32

Clean Sheet

23%

Girona

4.36

9%

Sevilla

10.72

Win to Nil

13%

Girona

7.58

2%

Sevilla

46.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 5.1 7.5 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
2 6.0 8.9 6.5 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.8 7.0 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
4 2.8 4.2 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.372
λ Away (xG) 1.473
Total xG 3.845
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.167
Girona attack strength 1.268
Girona defence strength 1.121
Sevilla attack strength 1.126
Sevilla defence strength 1.336
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57