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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

52%

Girona

1.91

24%

Draw

4.13

24%

Elche

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Girona xG

Total xG

2.73

1.05

Elche xG

52%
24%
24%
GironaDrawElche

1.91

52%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

35%

Girona

2.85

19%

Elche

5.38

Win to Nil

18%

Girona

5.46

4%

Elche

22.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.8 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.0 11.5 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.682
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.729
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.142
Girona attack strength 0.843
Girona defence strength 1.053
Elche attack strength 0.870
Elche defence strength 1.318
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37