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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 21 Dec 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

29%

Girona

3.43

29%

Draw

3.41

42%

Atletico Madrid

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Girona xG

Total xG

2.31

1.28

Atletico Madrid xG

29%
29%
42%
GironaDrawAtletico Madrid

3.43

29%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.41

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

28%

Girona

3.59

36%

Atletico Madrid

2.79

Win to Nil

8%

Girona

12.33

15%

Atletico Madrid

6.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 12.7 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 10.2 13.1 8.4 3.6 1.1 0.3
2 5.3 6.7 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.027
λ Away (xG) 1.279
Total xG 2.306
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.058
Girona attack strength 0.860
Girona defence strength 1.258
Atletico Madrid attack strength 0.962
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.864
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55