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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Coliseum

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

35%

Getafe

2.83

26%

Draw

3.90

39%

Real Madrid

2.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Getafe xG

Total xG

3.07

1.57

Real Madrid xG

35%
26%
39%
GetafeDrawReal Madrid

2.83

35%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

2.56

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

21%

Getafe

4.83

22%

Real Madrid

4.45

Win to Nil

7%

Getafe

13.65

9%

Real Madrid

11.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 7.3 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.4
1 6.9 10.9 8.6 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.2 8.2 6.4 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 2.6 4.1 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.492
λ Away (xG) 1.575
Total xG 3.067
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.171
Getafe attack strength 0.935
Getafe defence strength 0.936
Real Madrid attack strength 1.436
Real Madrid defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46