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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

20:30

Venue

Estadio Coliseum

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

23%

Getafe

4.28

26%

Draw

3.82

50%

Real Madrid

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Getafe xG

Total xG

2.41

1.49

Real Madrid xG

23%
26%
50%
GetafeDrawReal Madrid

4.28

23%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

23%

Getafe

4.44

40%

Real Madrid

2.51

Win to Nil

5%

Getafe

19.01

20%

Real Madrid

4.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 13.4 10.0 4.9 1.8 0.5
1 8.3 12.3 9.2 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 3.8 5.7 4.2 2.1 0.8 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.922
λ Away (xG) 1.490
Total xG 2.412
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.236
Getafe attack strength 0.829
Getafe defence strength 1.052
Real Madrid attack strength 1.146
Real Madrid defence strength 0.837
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70