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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

17:30

Venue

Coliseum

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

33%

Getafe

3.03

30%

Draw

3.33

37%

Atletico Madrid

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.0%

Away win

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Getafe xG

Total xG

2.15

1.11

Atletico Madrid xG

33%
30%
37%
GetafeDrawAtletico Madrid

3.03

33%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.30

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

33%

Getafe

3.04

36%

Atletico Madrid

2.82

Win to Nil

11%

Getafe

9.21

13%

Atletico Madrid

7.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 13.0 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.2
1 12.1 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.3 7.0 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.035
λ Away (xG) 1.112
Total xG 2.147
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.106
Getafe attack strength 0.895
Getafe defence strength 0.945
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.064
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50