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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Coliseum

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atletico Madrid Win

20%

Getafe

4.91

31%

Draw

3.18

48%

Atletico Madrid

2.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

19.3%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.7%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.64

Getafe xG

Total xG

1.79

1.15

Atletico Madrid xG

20%
31%
48%
GetafeDrawAtletico Madrid

4.91

20%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

2.07

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.10

68%

BTTS No

1.48

Clean Sheet

32%

Getafe

3.16

53%

Atletico Madrid

1.89

Win to Nil

6%

Getafe

15.53

25%

Atletico Madrid

3.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.7 19.3 11.1 4.3 1.2 0.3
1 10.6 12.3 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 3.4 3.9 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1
3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.637
λ Away (xG) 1.152
Total xG 1.789
League avg home goals 1.445
League avg away goals 1.126
Getafe attack strength 0.685
Getafe defence strength 0.842
Atletico Madrid attack strength 1.215
Atletico Madrid defence strength 0.644
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64