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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

13:00

Venue

Coliseum

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Getafe Win

45%

Getafe

2.24

30%

Draw

3.30

25%

Athletic Club

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Getafe xG

Total xG

2.06

0.84

Athletic Club xG

45%
30%
25%
GetafeDrawAthletic Club

2.24

45%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

43%

Getafe

2.32

29%

Athletic Club

3.39

Win to Nil

19%

Getafe

5.21

7%

Athletic Club

13.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 10.7 4.5 1.3 0.3
1 15.5 13.1 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 9.5 8.0 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 3.9 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.222
λ Away (xG) 0.843
Total xG 2.065
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.126
Getafe attack strength 0.703
Getafe defence strength 0.821
Athletic Club attack strength 0.912
Athletic Club defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67