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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

20:00

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

23%

Espanyol

4.39

27%

Draw

3.77

51%

Real Madrid

1.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Espanyol xG

Total xG

2.35

1.47

Real Madrid xG

23%
27%
51%
EspanyolDrawReal Madrid

4.39

23%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

1.97

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

23%

Espanyol

4.33

41%

Real Madrid

2.43

Win to Nil

5%

Espanyol

19.01

21%

Real Madrid

4.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 13.9 10.2 5.0 1.8 0.5
1 8.4 12.4 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 3.7 5.5 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.887
λ Away (xG) 1.466
Total xG 2.353
League avg home goals 1.550
League avg away goals 1.166
Espanyol attack strength 0.712
Espanyol defence strength 1.080
Real Madrid attack strength 1.164
Real Madrid defence strength 0.804
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71