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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

18%

Espanyol

5.46

22%

Draw

4.57

60%

Real Madrid

1.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Espanyol xG

Total xG

2.87

1.91

Real Madrid xG

18%
22%
60%
EspanyolDrawReal Madrid

5.46

18%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

1.67

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

15%

Espanyol

6.78

39%

Real Madrid

2.60

Win to Nil

3%

Espanyol

37.01

23%

Real Madrid

4.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 10.9 10.4 6.6 3.2 1.2
1 5.4 10.4 9.9 6.3 3.0 1.2
2 2.6 4.9 4.7 3.0 1.4 0.6
3 0.8 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.954
λ Away (xG) 1.914
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.410
League avg away goals 1.154
Espanyol attack strength 0.827
Espanyol defence strength 1.111
Real Madrid attack strength 1.493
Real Madrid defence strength 0.818
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59