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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Thu 15 May 2025

20:30

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barcelona Win

22%

Espanyol

4.54

24%

Draw

4.13

54%

Barcelona

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Espanyol xG

Total xG

2.66

1.68

Barcelona xG

22%
24%
54%
EspanyolDrawBarcelona

4.54

22%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

19%

Espanyol

5.35

38%

Barcelona

2.66

Win to Nil

4%

Espanyol

24.31

20%

Barcelona

4.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 11.8 9.9 5.5 2.3 0.8
1 6.9 11.5 9.7 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 3.4 5.6 4.7 2.7 1.1 0.4
3 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.980
λ Away (xG) 1.678
Total xG 2.658
League avg home goals 1.398
League avg away goals 1.154
Espanyol attack strength 0.812
Espanyol defence strength 0.993
Barcelona attack strength 1.464
Barcelona defence strength 0.864
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73