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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

57%

Elche

1.77

28%

Draw

3.63

16%

Oviedo

6.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Elche xG

Total xG

2.20

0.68

Oviedo xG

57%
28%
16%
ElcheDrawOviedo

1.77

57%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

6.33

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.53

60%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

51%

Elche

1.98

22%

Oviedo

4.58

Win to Nil

29%

Elche

3.49

3%

Oviedo

28.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 7.5 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 16.8 11.5 3.9 0.9 0.2
2 12.8 8.7 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 6.5 4.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.521
λ Away (xG) 0.682
Total xG 2.203
League avg home goals 1.459
League avg away goals 1.137
Elche attack strength 0.895
Elche defence strength 0.945
Oviedo attack strength 0.635
Oviedo defence strength 1.165
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 4 / 4