🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Elche cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Levante.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Elche beat Levante 2-0 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Regular Season - 3, in the La Liga. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Elche 1.39 xG and Levante 1.14 xG, a combined 2.53. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Levante landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Elche attack 0.83 / defence 1.09 against Levante attack 0.86 / defence 1.24, drawn from 2/2 games (Blended).

On the result, the model split it Elche 42% | Draw 27% | Levante 31%, with Elche to win its most likely call at 42%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 46%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 50% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Elche 0%, Levante 100%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 100%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Form vs Result

On form, Elche arrived the stronger side — 1.00 PPG against 0.00. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Elche scored 2 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Levante managed 0 against a 1.50 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights