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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

41%

Elche

2.45

31%

Draw

3.20

28%

Athletic Club

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Elche xG

Total xG

1.97

0.86

Athletic Club xG

41%
31%
28%
ElcheDrawAthletic Club

2.45

41%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

42%

Elche

2.37

33%

Athletic Club

3.04

Win to Nil

17%

Elche

5.80

9%

Athletic Club

10.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 12.0 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 15.4 13.3 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.6 7.4 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.111
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 1.974
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.168
Elche attack strength 0.936
Elche defence strength 0.871
Athletic Club attack strength 0.848
Athletic Club defence strength 0.826
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 46